My 73rd Annual Golden Globe Awards Predicitons

It’s awards season!!! The first big show of the season is in just a couple hours, which means it’s time for me to make my annual predictions. This has been an especially fun year because a lot of categories are still big question marks. There has been a lot of category confusion with some nominees (supporting/lead, comedy/drama??) And this has also just been a really strong year with plenty of deserving winners. But there can only be one. So without any further ado, lets jump in…

 

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BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

Mad Max: Fury Road

Room

*Spotlight

The Revenant

Carol

Spotlight should easily take this award tonight. It’s been sweeping in (almost) all of the precursors. And the Globes tend to love to hop on the bandwagon. A surprise win by Mad Max would be a awesome if they are trying to be edgy this year, but something tells me they’d rather reward it in the directing category other than Best Pic if they do at all.

BEST  PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

Will Smith – Concussion

Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs

Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl

*Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant

Bryan Cranston – Trumbo

Tonight will be the beginning of Leo’s sweep through awards season. He’s done an amazing job this year campaigning for Oscar and now he just needs his momentum to continue through the end of February. A loss here tonight would be devastating for his campaign, but don’t count on that happening. The Globes love Leo – he’s been nominated 9 times and won twice already.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn

Cate Blanchett – Carol

Rooney Mara – Carol

*Brie Larson – Room

Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl

Again, Larson has been on a roll this awards season and just needs to keep her momentum up to achieve Oscar gold. This was an interesting category this year because the studio’s have been campaigning hard for both Mara and Vikander to be put into the Supporting Actress category for these roles, which they’d have a much easier time winning. But the HFPA didn’t buy it and put them in lead (which they both are.) That doesn’t help Cate Blanchett’s chances at all since votes will probably split between her and Mara. If there was going to be an upset here tonight, keep your eye on Saoirse Ronan… The HFPA is made up of foreigners and they may gladly embrace her performance in Brooklyn.

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BEST MOTION PICTURE  – MOTION PICTURE COMEDY/MUSICAL

Joy

Spy

*The Big Short

The Martian

Trainwreck

This is a tough category. Obviously, it comes down to The Big Short and The Martian. However, there has been a lot of backlash over The Martian being placed into the comedy category rather than the drama category. The HFPA voted on this and it passed by one vote, so I feel like there will be a lot of voters who don’t vote for The Martian simply because of category fraud. That puts The Big Short into a really good position.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE COMEDY

Al Pacino – Danny Collins

Mark Ruffalo – Infinitely Polar Bear

Christian Bale – The Big Short

Steve Carell – The Big Short

*Matt Damon – The Martian

This is a 3-way race between the to Big Short actors who are going to cancel each other out and Matt Damon. Like Leo, Damon’s performance is basically a one man show and the HFPA are most likely going to reward him. Look for a possible Bale upset.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE COMEDY

Lily Tomlin – Grandma

Jennifer Lawrence – Joy

Melissa McCarthy – Spy

Maggie Smith – The Lady in the Van

*Amy Schumer – Trainwreck

This is a tough category. Lawrence vs. Schumer. The HFPA loves Jennifer Lawrence, but Schumer was 2015’s “it” girl and something tells me that will push her into a win, especially since Joy has not really been loved by critics. Lawrence also has two Globes already, does she really need a third at age 25? C’mon…

BEST PERFORMANCE BY IN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

Michael Shannon – 99 Homes

Idris Elba – Beasts of No Nation

Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies

*Sylvester Stallone – Creed

Paul Dano – Love & Mercy

This is anybody’s prize. There isn’t a clear frontrunner here, but the comeback story from Stallone is making for a nice campaign strategy. And the Globes love their recognizable faces on the stage rather than actors who audiences don’t necessarily recognize off the bat. I’m giving Stallone the edge but it could be anybody’s in this category… (mainly Rylance)

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs

Jennifer Jason Leigh – The Hateful Eight

Helen Mirren – Trumbo

Jane Fonda – Youth

*Alicia Vikander – Ex Machina

Again, since the frontrunners in this category got moved to Lead, it’s pretty open here. It’s a battle between Leigh and Vikander for the Globe. Because 2015 was the year of Vikander, I think they’ll reward her here. She’ll probably be nominated in this category for The Danish Girl at Oscars, which will be a much harder win. Look for a possible Leigh upset.

BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE

Todd Haynes – Carol

George Miller – Mad Max: Fury Road

Tom McCarthy – Spotlight

*Ridley Scott – The Martian

Alejandro G. Innaritu – The Revenant

I’m going to be kicking myself at the end of the night for not picking Miller, I feel. I’m going with the safer choice that is Ridley Scott because there is such a big narrative this season of him being overdue. But if The Martian backlash is huge… Look for a Miller win. This category is about rewarding the people who’ve been around for a while this year, sorry new guys.

BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE

Emma Donoghue – Room

*Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer – Spotlight

Aaron Sorkin – Steve Jobs

Charles Randolph, Adam McKay – The Big Short

Quentin Tarantino – The Hateful Eight

What an amazing list of nominees this year. I think this is the one other award Spotlight is going to get tonight especially because it’s not looking good for Tom Mccarthy’s directing nomination. But really how could you not be happy with any of these brilliant scripts winning. Look for upsets by Sorkin or The Big Short writers.

BEST MOTION PICTURE – ANIMATED

*Inside Out

Shaun the Sheep Movie

The Good Dinosaur

The Peanuts Movie

Anomalisa

Inside Out pretty much has this season wrapped up, but look for possible upsets by Anomalisa (a brilliant film!)

BEST MOTION PICTURE – FOREIGN LANGUAGE

Mustang (France)

*Son of Saul (Hungary)

The Brand New Testament (Belgium, France, Luxembourg)

The Club (Chile)

The Fencer (Finland, Germany, Estonia)

 

Another category this is pretty much wrapped up this season. Son of Saul is winning pretty much everything, but Mustang is giving it a run for it’s money.

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – MOTION PICTURE

Carter Burwell – Carol

Daniel Pemberton – Steve Jobs

Alexandre Desplat – The Danish Girl

*Ennio Morricone – The Hateful Eight

Ryuichi Sakamoto, Alva Noto – The Revenant

This is a battle between Carol and The Hateful Eight this season. But Ennio Morricone is such a respected master of the artform who has come out of retirement and given one of the best scores of the year. He has the edge.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG – MOTION PICTURE

“Love Me Like You Do” – Fifty Shades of Grey

“See You Again” – Furious 7

*”One Kind of Love” – Love & Mercy

“Writing’s On The Wall” – Spectre

“Simple Song #3” – Youth

See You Again is looking poised to win the Oscar, but the HFPA tends to reward vets if they have the opportunity in this category. Brian Wilson just seems like the kind of person they’d choose to reward, whether it’s the best song of the bunch or not.

*** I’m terrible at predicting TV (especially at the Globes) so I’ll just post my predictions and you can ask if you want an explanation :)***

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BEST TELEVISION SHOW – DRAMA

Game of Thrones

*Mr. Robot

Narcos

Outlander

Empire

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA

Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul

Jon Hamm – Mad Men

*Rami Malek – Mr. Robot

Wagner Moura – Narcos

Live Schreiber – Ray Donovan

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA

*Taraji P. Henson – Empire

Robin Wright – House of Cards

Viola Davis – How to Get Away with Murder

Caitriona Balfe – Outlander

Eva Green – Penny Dreadful

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BEST TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Casual

Mozart in the Jungle

Orange is the New Black

Silicon Valley

*Transparent

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY

Aziz Ansari – Master of None

Gael Garcia Bernal – Mozart in the Jungle

Rob Lowe – The Grinder

*Jeffrey Tambor – Transparent

Patrick Stewart – Blunt Talk

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY

Rachel Bloom – Crazy Ex-Girlfriend

Lily Tomlin – Grace and Frankie

Gina Rodriguez – Jane the Virgin

Jamie Lee Curtis – Scream Queens

*Julia Louis-Dreyfus – Veep

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BEST TELEVISION LIMITED SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

American Crime

American Horror Story: Hotel

*Fargo

Flash and Bone

Wolf Hall

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIED OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Patrick Wilson – Fargo

*Idris Elba – Luther

David Oyelowo – Nightengale

Oscar Isaac – She Me a Hero

Mark Rylance – Wolf Hall

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIED OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Lady Gaga – American Horror Story: Hotel

Queen Latifah – Bessie

*Kirsten Dunst – Fargo

Sarah Hay – Flash and Bone

Felicity Huffman – American Crime

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, LIMITED SERIES, OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

*Ben Mendelsohn – Bloodline

Christian Slater – Mr. Robot

Tobias Menzies – Outlander

Alan Cumming – The Good Wife

Damian Lewis – Wolf Hall

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, LIMITED SERIES, OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

*Regina King – American Crime

Joanne Froggatt- Downton Abbey

Uzo Aduba – Orange is the New Black

Maura Tierney – The Affair

Judith Light – Transparent

HAPPY GOLDEN GLOBES DAY!!!

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